Will my Covid test be positive?
67
1kṀ9090
resolved Jun 10
Resolved
NO

My fully boosted wife has bad symptoms and just tested positive. I have been sharing a hotel room with her for the past 5 days. I only have a very mild congestion and slight worsening of my asthma. I have not tested myself yet. I will resolve this according to the results of the test after the market closes. I will avoid any insider trading.

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ooh, you were going to test today?! it’s too early!

I bet you 100M that you test positive in 5-7 days.

@Santiago ill take that action

@Santiago I'd bet 250M that he tests positive in within a week if he uses a newer covid rapid test.

@JonathanRay are you willing to take another test in 7 days for a continuation market?

@snazzlePop How sure are you? I got a 70% no limit order on this market

Still no T line. I’m gonna wait 5 more minutes before resolving.

The only covid test I have left expired 2 years ago but it still seems to be working. The control line just turned red.

still totally asymptomatic aside from a barely noticeable nasal congestion and a barely noticeable increase in asthma symptoms, but my wife def has covid. Will retest now

she had really bad congestion last night, and just a sore throat the night before that. I didn’t get around to redoing the test at lighthaven so I’ll do it at home around noon

bought Ṁ250 YES

Antigen tests take a while to turn positive. When I caught it my antigen tests were negative for two days while I tested positive with PCR, then turned positive after.

You haven't said when her symptoms started, nor when you'll test (today vs tomorrow), so I don't think you're getting very useful predictions here.

First test was invalid because the control line didn’t go red. Will retest soon

bought Ṁ100 YES

Will you re-test if negative?

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