Will compute get a million times more energy efficient by 2075? | Manifold

Will compute get a million times more energy efficient by 2075?

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190Ṁ1232

2076

11%

chance

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1D

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The RTX 4090 uses about 30 MeV for a 32-bit flop. Resolves Yes if before 2100 there is a computer using less than 30ev per 32-bit flop. This would happen if performance per watt continues doubling every 2 years for 40 years after 2023.

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Related questions

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

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