Will bitcoin be over $100k on April 5, 2025?
Basic
84
77k
2025
36%
chance

Resolves YES iff the volume-weighted-average-price of bitcoin on April 5 2025 (UTC) is above $100k.

Apr 18, 5:03pm: Will bitcoin be over 100k on April 5, 2025? → Will bitcoin be over $100k on April 5, 2025?

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opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 34% order

10k yes limit at 34% expires in 2 days

sold Ṁ0 YES

Some of the trading here makes me think there's confusion about this market's timeframe. April 5, 2025 is more than a year from now.

predicts NO

An easier market to arb:

predicts NO

A market of mine, (not for April 5, but for Jan 1)