Passable sex robots before 2050?
28
1.9k
2050
62%
chance

Resolves yes if at any time before 2050 there are passable sex robots (i.e., that look and sound realistic enough to pass a turing test in-person).

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The market author might well say it is not what they intended, but the description given here is literally impossible, because something that can pass a Turing Test in person does not have behavior compatible with being a sex robot; if it acts like a sex robot, it is not a person, and if it is a person, it is not a sex robot.

To be more plain, if it can pass a Turing Test in person, no one would pay for it as a sex robot, since they would not get what they wanted to pay for.

Passing a turing test in-person sounds like a very high bar.