Age of death multi-market
17
253
1.8K
3001
99%
Jimmy Carter
91%
Chris Mirabile
89%
Pope Francis
87%
Scott Alexander
86%
Michelle Obama
86%
Joe Biden
86%
Donald Knuth
85%
Bryan Johnson
85%
Bill Gates
84%
Jeff Bezos
83%
Ray Kurzweil
82%
Elon Musk
82%
Peter Thiel
82%
King Charles III
82%
Donald Trump
80%
George R R Martin

Each market resolves PROB to the age at which the person dies. 100+ resolves YES.

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Donald Trump

Is this actually correct at 80%? Why would he be a forerunner for President if he's not expected to live out the term. Something doesn't add up here.