Will there be a successful ceasefire in Yemen during the month of Ramadan?
8
105Ṁ451resolved May 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The UN has been trying to negotiate a ceasefire in Yemen to span the entire holy month of Ramadan.
On March 21, the Houthis praised the move, saying it was a positive step: https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2022-03-21/yemen-houthis-say-u-n-calls-for-truce-in-ramadan-a-positive-step-spokesman
On March 29, the Saudi-led coalition announced that it will observe a unilateral cease-fire: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/gulf-states-plan-yemen-talks-without-houthi-rebels-present/2022/03/29/3bfa7fc0-af23-11ec-9dbd-0d4609d44c1c_story.html.
Examples of events that will cause me to resolve this market to NO:
* The Saudi-led coalition launches airstrikes in Yemen.
* The Houthis explode a drone in Saudi Arabia.
If it seems ambiguous I will either resolve as N/A or at a percentage that I think is reasonable, along the lines that Gabrielle describes in his answer to my question in https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-russia-use-chemical-or-biologi-e790d5158f6a.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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