Similar to another market, but that market was based on subjectivity in combination wirh spending from interest groups, so I decided to create one that was more objective about the issues voting are basing their decision on.
Will resolve YES if more people consider AI to be VERY IMPORTANT to their voting decision than consider abortion to be so, based on Gallup and Pew polls. If the two polls have conflicting results market will resolve at 50%.
If only one of them releases polling on this by election day then that will be used in whole to resolve the market.
2024 Polls:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/09/09/issues-and-the-2024-election/
https://news.gallup.com/poll/651719/economy-important-issue-2024-presidential-vote.aspx
1,000The title and description are a bit inaccurate. The question, in both polls, is how important the topic is to your voting decision. Many people see abortion as a very important topic, but it won't be that important to their vote for President, since they won't expect either candidate to change the status quo on that topic.