This market resolves YES if Open Philanthropy publishes a relatively open-ended call or application for individual AI safety researchers by the end of 2024. For the market to resolve positively, the application needs to allow researchers to propose their own research directions and must not be limited to academic positions.

I'm roughly thinking of an application like these, but allowing for longer research projects (e.g. for a full year) and without a primary framing of 'community-building' or 'capacity-building':

https://www.openphilanthropy.org/career-development-and-transition-funding/

https://airtable.com/appivZBYDmjPU0SmE/shrOiSw9i5WJPnlWj

If it is the kind of program that can fund research like the following, the market will resolve YES: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5spBue2z2tw4JuDCx/steering-gpt-2-xl-by-adding-an-activation-vector