Will a popular secondary market for Mana/USD* exist on the open internet before EOY 2024?
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Trading via some commonplace intermediary (e.g. Mana -> BTC -> USD) still counts.
"Popular" is subjective; let's say "100 trades per day". If some such market exists but they won't release their stats, I'll make a judgment call as to their popularity (likely with a poll or something).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@mariopasquato As worded, if it averages 100 trades per day for a week and then vanishes, that counts. I should’ve written the contract better and I’m not sure what etiquette is on changing wording, but unless I hear overwhelmingly that that’s fine, I’ll stick to RAW, and that means no duration.