Will the EU produce at least 1 Million 155mm artillery shells for Ukraine during 2024?
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Jan 1
13%
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The outbreak of full-scale war between Ukraine and Russia in 2022 has led to the significant depletion of pre-war stockpiles of the belligerents and their allies. 155mm are often identified as one of the key logistical needs for Ukranian forces, and Ukraine's allies have historically failed to keep up with demand. In March 2023 the EU set a goal of producing and delivering 1 Million 155mm artillery shells to Ukraine by March 2024, a goal of which it has since forecasted it will fall significantly short. Will the EU be able to meet its original goal in the 2024 calendar year?

This question is regarding 2024 production and deliveries only, 2023 production and deliveries will be subtracted from relevant totals wherever possible.

This question will resolve to Yes if:

-An EU official or other authoritative source (based on my judgement) confirms that 1 Million 155mm artillery shells were produced and delivered before the end of 2024.

OR

-An EU official or other authoritative source (based on my judgement) confirms that artillery shells were produced at an annualized rate of 1 Million shells, AND 1 Million 155mm shells are delivered before the end of 2024.

This question will resolve to NO if:

-No authoritative source (based on my judgement) confirms a total or annualized production rate of 1 Million shells in 2024.

OR

-No authoritative source (based on my judgement) confirms delivery of a total 1 Million shells to Ukraine in 2024.

This question will resolve to N/A if:

-There is a significant disagreement between authoritative sources (based on my judgement) on the parameters outlined above.

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EU Shell-Production Capacity, Supplies To Ukraine Fall Far Short Of Promises (rferl.org)

Western journalistic outlet estimates that EU production is still only at a rate of ~600,000 per year despite claims of nearly three times that amount.

Germany, France and Poland vow to procure more weapons for Ukraine in a show of unity - The Washington Post

Today the EU announced 500 million euros in funding to remove bottlenecks in shell production, with a goal of 1.7 million annual production rate by end of 2024 and 2 million annual production rate by late 2025.

Czechs raise funds to buy 800,000 artillery shells for Ukraine – POLITICO

I will not be including the 500,000 155mm shells in this purchase towards total EU deliveries, as the mystery seller is clearly outside of the EU.

A good brief explainer video from the Wall Street Journal on this topic.

Why the 155mm Shell Is One of the World’s Most Wanted Objects Now | WSJ Equipped - YouTube

Top EU diplomat admits failure to deliver 1 million shells to Ukraine

https://news.yahoo.com/top-eu-diplomat-admits-failure-154141091.html