The SpaceX Starship prototype is gearing up for an orbital launch soon. It and its booster have performed multiple static-fires in preparation.
Does the shiny rocket reach orbit by the end of this year, 2022?
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https://polymarket.com/market/will-spacexs-starship-successfully-reach-outer-space-by-december-31-2022 is predicting 2%! And that doesn't even require orbit, that just requires reaching space. I don't know what the reasoning is for that prediction though.
https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-orbital-launch-december was published 1 month ago and says they were targeting December 1st. It's plausible they could make it in another month but does seem unlikely
Wednesday's test was the first static fire for Booster 7 since Nov. 14, when the huge vehicle lit up 14 Raptors.
Shortly after that trial, SpaceX founder and CEO Elon Musk said that the company planned to perform just one or two more static fires (opens in new tab) with Booster 7 before launching an orbital test flight — the first ever for the Starship program.
https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-super-heavy-static-fire-november-29
Starship S24 currently surrounded by scaffolding. Unconfirmed as to when this will be removed.
