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MANIFOLD
Will Hinkley Point C be completed for under £30bn?
6
Ṁ150Ṁ120
2030
24%
chance

In May 2022, the expected cost of Hinkley Point C was increased by £3bn to ~£26bn.

This market will resolve positively is Hinkley Point C is announced to have been commissioned (completed), with less than £30bn spent.

The market will resolve negatively if more than £30bn has credibly been spent, even if the project has not been completed.

See also:


Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:00 am

Market context
Energy
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Looks like I made a mistake when creating the market - it has already closed. Will ask Manifold to extend to 2030.

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