Will AI take over density functional theory by 2027?
11
1kṀ4382028
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will AI/ML methods take over density functional theory?
Resolves YES if an AI-based or AI-generated density functional technique gets more citations (counted by google scholar) than the paper introducing the most popular non-ML-based density functional, (currently B3LYP), has gotten in the TWO previous years by the end of 2027.
Resolves NO otherwise.
Currently, the paper to beat is the one introducing B3LYP with about 1,500 citations / year
2035 (longer term market) here (slight difference in resolution criterion)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will it be possible for AI to have the potential to discover sub-quark structures by end of 2025?
6% chance
Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?
26% chance
Will AI take over density functional theory by 2035?
45% chance
Major physics discovery thanks to AI by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Conditional on a major breakthrough happening in physics thanks to AI, will it be due to deep learning?
72% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
49% chance
Will the state-of-the-art AI model use latent space to reason by 2026?
19% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2026?
25% chance
Will an AI implement a full infinity-topos mathematical framework by end of 2025?
17% chance
Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?
60% chance