Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 12?
1
100Ṁ2
Dec 14
39%
chance

  • Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): No actual strike needs to occur - the market only requires that Trump announces (in person or on any forum) that there was a strike on a drug boat that had not previously been announced.

  • Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The announcement must be made publicly by the deadline (December 12, 2025).

  • Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For an announcement to qualify as new, it must meet these parameters:

    • Not announced before December 6

    • The claimed date of the strike did not occur before December 1

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Alright, let's play the game.

  • Can you give us a definition of a "strike"?

  • What if it misses and the boat gets away?

  • Does he need to announce it? What if we learn it was kept secret, and learn about it after the deadline?

  • I'm sure I can come up with more questions, but let's start with these.

@Quroe no strike has to happen. The market only asks if Trump announces in person or on any forum that there was a strike on a drug boat that had not previously been announced

has to be announced publicly by the deadline

to qualify as new it has to meet these arbitrary parameters: not announced before December 6, the claimed date of the strike did not occur before December 1

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