This market resolves to YES if, at any point before June 1st, 2026 (UTC), the United States government or military conducts a direct military strike against Iranian infrastructure. "Infrastructure" is defined as fixed, non purely military, facilities, including but not limited to oil refineries, nuclear facilities, power grids, or transportation

If no such strike occurs by the specified time, or if the strike is against military sites, or the action is conducted by a third party (e.g., Israel or an insurgent group) without direct U.S. military involvement, the market resolves to NO.

Resolution will be based on reports from reputable international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).