Perplexity worth more than OpenAI by January 1, 2026?
8
100Ṁ631Dec 31
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question at hand here is, which is worth more, the infrastructure or the wrapper?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
The more I learn about OpenAI here, the more I'm seeing the "No" side of this. To be honest, I'm a little shocked at the recurring revenue OpenAI has already achieved. My bet here was based on the idea that search is clearly a multi-billion dollar business while "LLMs" are not (yet) clearly that.
My assumption there is wrong. While I'm not convinced the chatbot is the final form factor here, it is clear that OpenAI, with revenue already in the billions and a $40 billion cash infusion, is here to stay.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI be acquired by another company the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Perplexity be acquired by EOY 2025?
11% chance
Will Perplexity AI raise at > $9B value by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?
1% chance
Will most businesses have access to buy ads on Perplexity.ai by 1 July 2025?
30% chance
Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?
85% chance
Will OpenAI be valued above $1 trillion before 2030?
50% chance
Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040?
20% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
3% chance
Will OpenAI be dissolved at any point by end of 2025
3% chance