More than 60% of Chatbot Arena top 100 models use permissive licenses by EOY2026?
1
100Ṁ10
2026
55%
chance

My thesis here is that we are going to see a bifurcation based on model type. Text based models will become a commodity since so much data is publicly available. The lack of a moat (proprietary data) and stiff competition will drive down margins. As a result, companies will increasingly open source their text based models.

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