Will ARKK, a speculative innovation ETF, outperform S&P500 over the next 5 years? | Manifold

Will ARKK, a speculative innovation ETF, outperform S&P500 over the next 5 years?

9

100Ṁ220

2027

38%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Betting on whether ARKK, a speculative innovation ETF focused on Robotics, Genomics, Next Generation Internet, FinTech, and AI, will Outperform the S&P500 from 4/1/2022 - 4/1/2027

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predictedNO

https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/ARKK/SPY

@JimKjelland I think this should be reopened with a close date equal to the end of the window in question.

predictedYES

@EvanDaniel The point for me was to predict 5 years into the future, not to track constantly updating odds as things evolve, if that makes sense.

Same reasoning as other bet...however this is the 5 year one, the other one is the 3-year one, so I'm going to put a bit more $M on that other 3-year bet.

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