I can resolve this market either way. However, if I resolve YES, I must pay 5,000 mana to a randomly chosen trader.
➕
Plus
49
Ṁ1058
Dec 4
28%
chance

This is a social experiment. I will not bet on this market. I will maintain a balance of at least 5,000 mana until this market resolves.

Details on how the random trader is chosen:

When the market closes, say there are N accounts with YES positions and M accounts with NO positions. Then, the accounts with YES positions are assigned 1 through N, in order from largest to smallest position, and the accounts with NO positions are assigned N+1 through N+M, again from largest to smallest position. A random integer from 1 to N+M will be generated with @FairlyRandom to select the account.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 NO

Why would you resolve Yes?

OP isn't betting in the market, but OP could still be bribed or otherwise encouraged by YES holders. If the market gains enough liquidity, a YES holder could stand to gain >M5000.

bought Ṁ1 NO

Any details on how you'll choose the resolution?

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