I can resolve this market either way. However, if I resolve YES, I must pay 5,000 mana to a randomly chosen trader.
Plus
49
Ṁ1058Dec 4
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a social experiment. I will not bet on this market. I will maintain a balance of at least 5,000 mana until this market resolves.
Details on how the random trader is chosen:
When the market closes, say there are N accounts with YES positions and M accounts with NO positions. Then, the accounts with YES positions are assigned 1 through N, in order from largest to smallest position, and the accounts with NO positions are assigned N+1 through N+M, again from largest to smallest position. A random integer from 1 to N+M will be generated with @FairlyRandom to select the account.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00