Greatest Apocalyptic Threat (not truly existential, but sets us back some thousands or tens of thousands of years) | Manifold

Greatest Apocalyptic Threat (not truly existential, but sets us back some thousands or tens of thousands of years)

Greatest Apocalyptic Threat (not truly existential, but sets us back some thousands or tens of thousands of years)

26

1.2kṀ853

Jan 6

47%

Synthetic pandemic

31%

Climate

4%

Unanticipated technology

3%

AI/machines (human created)

3%

Natural pandemic

3%

Nuclear War

1.9%

Nanotech ('unintelligent' paperclip machine scenario)

1.7%Other

1.1%

Asteroid/Comet

1.0%

Biological Warfare (intentional)

Not a true extinction-level threat (see my question on that if you wish). Add answers as you see fit.

For now, the plan is to resolve by the end of 2025 according to simple democratic opinion. Obviously I ask that everyone plays in the spirit of earnest and truth-seeking. Depending on how long manifold lasts we may see certain options disappear one by one, especially as soon as (if) we go interstellar.

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Related questions

If AGI causes human extinction before 2100, which type of misalignment will be the biggest cause?

Will API pose an existential threat to humanity before 2050?

Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?

Will an astronomical event (e.g., asteroid impact) wipe out humanity by 2100?

Will AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?

Will an alien "wipe out" a human before 2100 (read desc.)

Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Non-AI catastrophe before 2100?

Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2030, and what will be the cause?

Will an exotic physics catastrophe wipe out humanity by 2100?

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