
Background Medicare for All is a proposed single-payer national health insurance program that would provide comprehensive healthcare coverage to all Americans. The Trump administration has consistently opposed Medicare for All, characterizing it as a "socialist takeover" of healthcare that would eliminate private insurance and increase costs.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the Trump administration enacts legislation implementing a Medicare for All system that provides universal healthcare coverage to all Americans through a single-payer system. The market will resolve NO if:
Trump's term ends without enacting Medicare for All
A different healthcare reform is passed that maintains a multi-payer system
No major healthcare legislation is passed
The market should be considered active only during Trump's presidential term(s). If Trump does not become president again, the market should resolve NO.
Considerations Trump's stated healthcare policies focus on expanding choice through private insurance markets and reducing costs through measures like the No Surprises Act, rather than implementing a single-payer system. His administration has explicitly committed to preserving the current Medicare system rather than expanding it to cover all Americans.