Who wins the government shutdown, Republicans (yes) or Democrats (no)?

1kṀ1626

Jan 1

65%

chance

ALL

Resolves based off of my reasonable opinion. If the budget is passed without much substantial change especially to the healthcare budget then the republicans win. If a reasonable amount of more subsides are included for healthcare then the dems win!

Feel free to ask clarifying q’s!

Update 2025-10-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If the budget passes with a compromise, this will resolve to PARTIAL at a % chosen by the creator (traders can suggest %s in the comments).
- If the bill is not really amended (passes without substantial change), it will resolve YES (Republicans).
- If Democrats get everything they wanted on healthcare (e.g., more subsidies), it will resolve NO (Democrats).

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is this a 'yes' if the CR passes without change, but dems get some commitment from republicans to change things later?

@brod yep, because republicans were willing to make that deal before the shutdown and still are

@JeromeHPowell how do you know they were willing to make a deal? I get they may have SAID that but that doesn’t mean they WOULD do that.

@Rolledupaces I mean the dems could just vote yes on the filibuster, that is the deal, whether they (Republicans) keep good on it is a different matter entirely

Shouldn't this resolve to some percentage?

@digory Yes, if the budget passes with some sort of compromise, it will, and you guys can voice your idea for what percentage you think it should be in the comments, but if the bill is not really amended or the Dems get everything they wanted w/healthcare, then it's yes or no, respectively.