50% chance. This market will resolve to the proportion of yes and no of a poll int he next week, don’t vote with financial interests though, I want true community reaction. Here is the market: https://manifold.markets/evan/is-charlie-kirk-dead#clhinh0bndw A thread for context: https://manifold.markets/evan/will-i-ever-be-late-to-pay-back-a-l#aw0377y397h