How many people will be killed as a result of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in 2024?
35
10kṀ32k
resolved Jan 2
100%79%
1000-5000
0.6%
<100
2%
100-1000
11%
5000-20000
3%
20000-50000
2.0%
50000-100000
1.3%
100000+

Measurement will start from the Sept. 17th pager attacks and include any subsequent casualties between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon. Both Israeli and Lebanese/Hezbollah deaths will count, both combatant and civilian deaths will count.

Measurement for these questions can be hard, but I will follow expert consensus as reflected by mainstream journalism, reports from international institutions, etc.

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