Will Ukraine control any territory near Azov sea by end of March 2023? | Manifold

Will Ukraine control any territory near Azov sea by end of March 2023?

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Resolves YES if Ukraine controls any territory within 20km of Azov sea coast for at least 3 days by the end of March.

For the purposes of this question, Molochnyi Lyman and Syvash lake are not considered to be part of Azov sea, but Utliuts'kyi Lyman is.

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#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

#Ukraine Counteroffensive

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predicted NO

@Yev Please resolve :)

Btw, we have a real money Land Bridge market here: https://insightprediction.com/m/154445/will-ukraine-sever-the-land-bridge-to-crimea-by-september-30th-2023

Very unlikely in the next two months. I think Ukraine will wait to absorb the new IFVs and perhaps western tanks, and then will wait for the end of the mud season, before launching a massive offensive in early summer. And, if they launch, maybe not successful even with all the new equipment.

Related: /IB/will-ukraine-recapture-the-city-of-dabdd9d18add (~50km from the coast)

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