Will Biden be president on November 7, 2022? (90% chance of resolving to quiescent market price)
10
260Ṁ1175resolved Nov 12
Resolved as
96%1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Let's combine /zzq/will-biden-still-be-president-at-th and /dreev/biden-quiescence.
This market will stay open until the end of Nov 7.
The market will then stay open until the market price fully quiesces, meaning that it varies by at most 1% during some 72-hour period.
With probability 90%, it resolves the quiescence price.
Otherwise it resolves to whether Biden was president on Nov 7.
Close date updated to 2022-11-11 12:26 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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