Will OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic be the next to release a frontier LLM?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ1kresolved Feb 19
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%64%
Anthropic
25%
OpenAI
11%
Deepmind
Considering only these three companies, so if another company releases a frontier model these do not resolve no
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ147 | |
| 2 | Ṁ11 | |
| 3 | Ṁ10 | |
| 4 | Ṁ4 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic, OpenAI, Deep-mind or Meta publish an app mainly for AI Agents by end of March 2026?
53% chance
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
33% chance
Will OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
70% chance
Which months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
A publicly available, general purpose LLM from a major AI lab is advertised with robotics capabilities before 2027
40% chance
Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?
7% chance
Will Anthropic release a (competetive) opensource LLM in the next 3 years?
30% chance
Which AI will be the first to space? OpenAI?
Before 2027, will OpenAI release a Frontier Model trained according to their "Why LLMs hallucinate" paper?
49% chance
Will OpenAI announce AGI before 2028 conditional on it centrally being an LLM?
48% chance