Will GPT-5 be able to draw me in tic-tac-toe while playing as O at least 30% of the time? | Manifold

Will GPT-5 be able to draw me in tic-tac-toe while playing as O at least 30% of the time?

6

100Ṁ80

Jan 1

63%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I will play GPT-5 in 9 tic-tac-toe games, choosing a different starting square each time and then proceeding to play as optimally as possible.

GPT-5 will be prompted as follows: "Let's play tic-tac-toe. Think step-by-step about each move. I will go first and put my x in [insert square]".

Currently, gpt-4o has a zero percent draw rate.

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Related questions

Will GPT5 show clear signs of diminishing returns?

Will GPT-5 exceed 70% on WebArena?

Will GPT-5 have Atari skills?

Will GPT-5 be able to GM a session of my custom TTRPG to my satisfaction?

Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard

Will I be impressed by GPT-5?

Will GPT-5 be more competent than me in my area of expertise?

Will GPT-5 ace exams?

Will GPT-5 be able to solve A::B system puzzles consistently

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

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