MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic’s next Sonnet model exceed 83% on SWE-bench verified?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ668
resolved Feb 17
Resolved
NO

Only counts if the number in the model’s name increments, so a new Claude Sonnet 4.5 checkpoint does not count.

If a new Sonnet model is not released by 2027 this will resolve NA

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opened a Ṁ358 NO at 3% order

@JaundicedBaboon Introducing Sonnet 4.6 \ Anthropic
The official release page has it at 79.6%, which is substantially below 83%.

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