MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic’s next Sonnet model exceed 83% on SWE-bench verified?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ200
Dec 31
50%
chance

Only counts if the number in the model’s name increments, so a new Claude Sonnet 4.5 checkpoint does not count.

If a new Sonnet model is not released by 2027 this will resolve NA

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