Update 2026-06-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on Anthropic's GAAP net income in their audited 2025 Income Statement (fiscal year 2025), expected to be publicly available via an S-1 filing.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, > -$30 billion, followed by > -$25 billion and > -$20 billion are most likely. See the market for live updates (11 traders, as of Sep 13, 2026).

What will be Anthropic’s GAAP net income on their audited 2025 Income Statement?

Ṁ3.3kṀ4.2k

2027

67%

> -$30 billion

57%

> -$25 billion

47%

> -$20 billion

37%

> $-15 billion

28%

> $-10 billion

20%

> $-5 billion

15%

> $-1 billion

14%

> $0

Update 2026-06-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on Anthropic's GAAP net income in their audited 2025 Income Statement (fiscal year 2025), expected to be publicly available via an S-1 filing.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

bought Ṁ25 NO

Anthropic’s S1 probably comes out in the next couple weeks, still feel there’s a lot of alpha in the -5b buckets and higher

Clarification: doing research I saw S1 are always made publicly available and contain the three most recent fiscal years of income statements, so I changed the market to 2025 since that’s the year I’m interested in and we’re basically guaranteed to see it.

My apologies to traders who made purchases based on other assumptions