Will P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ722040
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves NO when P vs NP is resolved or YES when man lands on Mars, whichever comes first
resolution of P vs NP is a proof or disproof of P≠NP accepted by the mathematical community
man lands on Mars when a live human body is separated from the Mars surface only by like a solid thing, such as a spaceship or spacesuit (edit: or both of course, but touching each other)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars?
31% chance
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030?
7% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030?
2% chance
Will P vs PSPACE be resolved before P vs NP?
72% chance
Will P vs NP be resolved by the end of these years?
Will P vs NP be resolved by 2043?
48% chance
When will a human land on the Mars?
Will another Millennium prize problem be solved before a human steps on Mars?
88% chance
Will any human successfully land on Mars by 2030?
6% chance
Will the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth?
68% chance