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MANIFOLD
Do we live in a simulation?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ102
2059
41%
chance

Will we find evidence that we are living in a simulation? I will resolve this market if we find strong evidence in the future that we are living in a simulation. If its not obvious in 2060 I will either do a rough literature search, or pay someone else to do it (at least 5-10 hours) and then resolve the market with the probability that reflects my best estimate. I will be 59 by then, so likely still alive in most future branches that matter. If I die, this market will resolve ambigous.

Dec 17, 8:26pm: Is the simulation hypothesis true? → Do we live in a simulation?

Resolution note: This market resolves identically to the corresponding source market, including N/A or partial resolutions. Any first-person language refers to that market's creator, not this market's creator.

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