Will Bulgaria agree to give or sell one of its nuclear reactors to Ukraine before the end of 2024?
Basic
11
Ṁ278Dec 31
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will resolve to YES if there is a public statement by Bulgarian National Electricity Company, Energoatom, Bulgarian or Ukrainian officials, or the company that would facilitate or implement such a deal. The statement has to be public before 01/01/2025. The transaction/installation may happen after this deadline.1
The market will resolve to NO if there is no such public statement by that date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced short-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
44% chance
Will Ukraine have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2035?
22% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced intermediate-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear test by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2026?
63% chance
Will Russia detonate a nuclear bomb in Ukraine by 2024?
3% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2025?
61% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2024?
3% chance