Will there be a profitable moon base by 2050?
Plus
41
Ṁ35412050
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolved YES, if there is a base on the lunar surface permanently inhabitated by humans for at least 3 months, and all revenues of the base exceed all costs.
Possible costs:
Initial construction, launch, salary, maintanance, etc. - but not the basic research & developement to make a moon base possible.
Possible revenues:
mining exports (such as helium 3), research contracts, space tourism, satellite launch contracts, real estate, manufacturing, refueling, entertainment, etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Moon base by 2040?
69% chance
Will there be a moon base by 2030?
23% chance
Will there be a permanently inhabited Moon base by 2040?
34% chance
Will the mostly self-sufficient Moon colony exist by 2100?
35% chance
Will there be a martian colony by 2050?
40% chance
Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?
39% chance
Will space mining evolve from a theoretical industry into a practical industry in the next 25 years?
53% chance
Will there be a lunar base by the end of 2029?
14% chance
Which one will become commercially viable first by the year 2074?
Will there be aluminum production on the moon before 2063 ?
49% chance