When will Apple ship their next spatial computing device? (Apple Vision Pro successor)
31
1kṀ4598resolved Oct 20
100%98%
2025 or earlier
1.7%
2026
0.3%
2027
0.1%
2028
0.1%
2029
0.1%
2030
0.1%
2031 or beyond
This market tracks the general availability of the successor to the Apple Vision Pro released in 2024.
The year in which Apple makes their next "spatial computer" first available for (pre-)order will determine the resolution of this market. This includes a second-generation Apple Vision Pro or any other headset, regardless of its name (e.g., "Apple Vision," "Air," "Max," "Plus," etc.).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ429 | |
| 2 | Ṁ55 | |
| 3 | Ṁ54 | |
| 4 | Ṁ23 | |
| 5 | Ṁ22 |
People are also trading
Will Apple sell more than 1 million Vision Pro devices by end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?
71% chance
When will Apple release a Vision base model?
Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?
26% chance
Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?
20% chance
Will an AR/VR product from Apple overtake iPhones 10 years after Vision Pro's launch?
11% chance
Sort by:
@MarkTerrano If the model identifier is anything other than RealityDevice14,1 it will resolve YES for the year it first becomes available for order.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Apple sell more than 1 million Vision Pro devices by end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?
71% chance
When will Apple release a Vision base model?
Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?
26% chance
Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?
20% chance
Will an AR/VR product from Apple overtake iPhones 10 years after Vision Pro's launch?
11% chance