When will Apple ship their next spatial computing device? (Apple Vision Pro successor) | Manifold

When will Apple ship their next spatial computing device? (Apple Vision Pro successor)

30

1kṀ1308

2030

58%

2025 or earlier

29%

2026

7%

2027

1.3%

2028

1.3%

2029

1.1%

2030

1.8%

2031 or beyond

This market tracks the general availability of the successor to the Apple Vision Pro released in 2024.

The year in which Apple makes their next "spatial computer" first available for (pre-)order will determine the resolution of this market. This includes a second-generation Apple Vision Pro or any other headset, regardless of its name (e.g., "Apple Vision," "Air," "Max," "Plus," etc.).

Apple Vision Pro

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Will Apple announce a Vision Pro 2 by the end of 2025?

When will Apple announce the next Vision headset?

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Will Apple sell more than 1 million Vision Pro devices by end of 2025?

Will Apple announce another Spatial Computer before 2026?

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?

Will the next Apple Vision device have a starting price of less than $2000?

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Since this seems so focused on 2025/2026, I set up a monthly market:

bought Ṁ5 YES

How will this market resolve if they just do an expanded run of an identical AVP version (no designation change) with the same features/hardware?

@MarkTerrano If the model identifier is anything other than RealityDevice14,1 it will resolve YES for the year it first becomes available for order.

Why isn’t 2024 an option?

@DavidFWatson I simply missed 2024. I'll update the 2025 option to include 2024.

People are also trading

Will Apple announce a Vision Pro 2 by the end of 2025?

-7% 1d45% chance

When will Apple announce the next Vision headset?

Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?

Will Apple sell more than 1 million Vision Pro devices by end of 2025?

Will Apple announce another Spatial Computer before 2026?

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?

Will the next Apple Vision device have a starting price of less than $2000?

Related questions

Will Apple announce a Vision Pro 2 by the end of 2025?

When will Apple announce the next Vision headset?

Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?

Will Apple sell more than 1 million Vision Pro devices by end of 2025?

Will Apple announce another Spatial Computer before 2026?

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?

Will the next Apple Vision device have a starting price of less than $2000?

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