When will Apple ship their next spatial computing device? (Apple Vision Pro successor)

31

Ṁ1kṀ4.6k

resolved Oct 20

100%98%

2025 or earlier

1.7%

2026

0.3%

2027

0.1%

2028

0.1%

2029

0.1%

2030

0.1%

2031 or beyond

This market tracks the general availability of the successor to the Apple Vision Pro released in 2024.

The year in which Apple makes their next "spatial computer" first available for (pre-)order will determine the resolution of this market. This includes a second-generation Apple Vision Pro or any other headset, regardless of its name (e.g., "Apple Vision," "Air," "Max," "Plus," etc.).

Market context

Apple Vision Pro

Virtual Reality

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People are also trading

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Will an AR/VR product from Apple overtake iPhones 10 years after Vision Pro's launch?

Sort by:

bought Ṁ40 YES

@JamesRomeril 2025 or earlier resolves YES https://www.apple.com/apple-vision-pro/

@mods Creator appears to be inactive, please may you resolve this

Since this seems so focused on 2025/2026, I set up a monthly market:

bought Ṁ5 YES

How will this market resolve if they just do an expanded run of an identical AVP version (no designation change) with the same features/hardware?

@MarkTerrano If the model identifier is anything other than RealityDevice14,1 it will resolve YES for the year it first becomes available for order.

Why isn’t 2024 an option?

@DavidFWatson I simply missed 2024. I'll update the 2025 option to include 2024.

People are also trading

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Will an AR/VR product from Apple overtake iPhones 10 years after Vision Pro's launch?

Related questions

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

Will Apple sell a lower-end Apple Vision headset before 2027?

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Will an AR/VR product from Apple overtake iPhones 10 years after Vision Pro's launch?

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