Will there be an elite consensus that the majority of society should return to normal with no Covid precautions by Feb 14th?
Basic
20
Ṁ2417resolved Feb 16
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
It helps if we have official statements from Biden, Fauci, or other government officials instructing Americans to return to normalcy. There should also be many experts / scientists that make statements to this effect. The consensus does not need to be perfect: A single op-ed in the NYT arguing against normalcy would not on its own be enough to resolve NO.
Ultimately, I will use my judgment to resolve this question.
#Covid #Politics
Feb 16, 5:27pm: It's getting there, but not at a consensus. Resolving NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?
55% chance
Will there be another pandemic-related stay-at-home order in the US before EoY 2026?
30% chance
Will there be a pandemic which most people agree is worse than COVID by the year 2050?
54% chance
Will someone convince me of ANYTHING that contradicts my (essentially mainstream) knowledge of COVID before 2026?
50% chance
When "Will Masking Return"? (widespread mask mandates in the USA)
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the US before 2025?
3% chance
Will I attend a large organized event that has a requirement intended to prevent a specific disease other than COVID-19 before 2026?
28% chance
Will the USA reintroduce COVID-19 lockdowns between the posting of this question and the end of 2024?
3% chance
In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that spike protein shedding was a health risk from the Covid vaccine?
9% chance
In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?