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MANIFOLD
What will be Manifold's Daily Active Users (7-day avg) on July 15th?
22
Ṁ10kṀ10k
resolved Jul 26
Resolved
1,750-1,800

Less than 1000 resolves to 1000. Greater than 2500 resolves to 2500.

See the number of Daily Active Users (based mostly on bets) on our stats page.

Closes July 1st so that liquidity is not too depleted!

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reposted

Woot! Daily Active Users went much higher than traders expected! 1783 (in the bucket 1750-1800) only had a 1.9% chance, out of 30 buckets (avg bucket probability is 3.3%).

I ended up making a profit as a creator: /JamesGrugett/will-i-get-more-in-fees-returned-li

cool market! & i def messed this up—DAUs had been crazily consistent for all of June, up right until the debate changed everything. (don't overfit to a limited sample)

@JamesGrugett I think this can resolve now.