What GPT version will be the first that can pass the Turing Test | Manifold

What GPT version will be the first that can pass the Turing Test

AI•OpenAI•GPT-5

9

54

Ṁ303

Ṁ350

2061

1D

1W

1M

ALL

6%

GPT 4

35%

GPT 5

39%

GPT 6

8%

GPT 7

4%

GPT 8

8%

Other

If the GPT model is named 4.5 it would resolve to 4 same for all future models.

If OpenAI changes what it calls it's models will resolve N/A and if they stop producing models before one passes the Turing test it resolves N/A

Get Ṁ200 play money

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how are you defining "pass the Turing test"? I'd argue GPT3.5 can pass the Turing test with the right prompts.

@pyrylium same resolution criteria as this market but only applies to OpenAi's GPT models

@JamesF which market?

@JamesF https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

@JamesF lol my bad

If GPT models never pass the turing test, does it also resolve N/A?

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Is "gpt2-chatbot" GPT-4's Successor?

Will GPT-4 be available to ChatGPT Free Users in 2024?

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Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

What will be true about GPT-4.5?

Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?

Will we have an open-source model better than GPT-4-Turbo before 2025?

Will Google's Gemini beat GPT4 in terms of capabilities on release?

When will GPT-6 be first released?

In what year will a GPT4-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware?

Will GPT-4 escape?

Will GPT-5 be capable of recursive self-improvement?

What will the next GPT be called?