RFK VP Introduction Prop bets
55
4.8kṀ30k
resolved Mar 26
Resolved
NO
RFK mentions vaccines
Resolved
NO
Either RFK or his VP mentions JFK
Resolved
YES
Trump or Biden mentioned by name
Resolved
YES
RFK mentions the military
Resolved
NO
RFK mentions anyone who was rumored to be his VP who didn't end up becoming his VP (Rodgers, Ventura etc) if someone is there VP mentioning them doesn't count.
Resolved
YES
Silicon valley mentioned
Resolved
NO
RFK's ad in the super bowl mentioned
Resolved
NO
RFK mentions the terrible side effect of vaccines, the skin condition known as "rash on a lussy"
Resolved
YES
RFK wears a tie with red or blue color
Resolved
NO
Nicole Shanahan dressed in red or blue
Resolved
YES
VP calls RFK "Bobby"
Resolved
YES
The VP is not announced before 2:15pm ET (15 minutes after start)
Resolved
NO
"Obama" mentioned (standalone, not Obamacare)
Resolved
YES
RFK mentions Monsanto (on stage)
Resolved
NO
Israel or Ukraine mentioned by name by anyone on stage
Resolved
YES
Event goes 45+ minutes before RFK takes the stage
Resolved
NO
RFK or VP allude to assassination (as considered by @Panfilo)
Resolved
YES
Crowd chants "Bobby"
Resolved
NO
RFK or VP speak Spanish on stage
Resolved
YES
Event goes 60+ minutes before RFK takes the stage

RFK has a VP announcement scheduled for March 26

Please do not have any questions about who will specifically be the VP there are other markets on that topic

Please make the markets clear if not clarify in the comments and I will edit them.

I reserve the right to N/A a market for any reason.

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2024 US Presidential Election
RFK VP
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bought Ṁ100 NO

He actually had impressive message discipline here. I think they don't want to be "the anti-vaxxer campaign" per se.

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Mentioned repeatedly starting here: https://www.youtube.com/live/RunrpokDyKE?feature=shared&t=4903

Anything you’ve seen @Panfilo

@JamesF I don't believe so, No.

this resolves yes

@Unown pls serious answers lol

can you say more about what an allusion is to you, so it makes sense to bet on this if it's your decision @Panfilo ?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@shankypanky A few examples! Referring to a politician who was assassinated as having their "work left undone" would be a Yes. Referring to an especially high need for secret service protection for RFK would be a Yes. Quoting the I Have a Dream speech would not be enough though.

Live soon come bet on manifold TV

reposted

RFK VP prop bets incoming (March 26, 10am PT) - reposting for reach 🇺🇲

bought Ṁ8 YES

Are you deliberately separating mention of jfk from mention of the superbowl Ad?

@SusanneinFrance Yes it would need to be a more explicit mentioning of JFK though it could be in the context of the Super Bowl ad if that makes sense

@JamesF Ok so must explicitly mention either one to ping that market, or both to ping both

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