if >10 people die in Israel as a result from Iran's missile strikes will there be a formal war between Iran and Israel
Basic
5
Ṁ187Jan 1
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Death totals will be taken from the Israel government. A formal war will be any declaration of war from either side, or soldiers(not proxies) from either country fight on the other countries land.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
8% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
35% chance
Will at least 10 people die from Iranian strikes on Israel before 2025?
18% chance
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 10,000 deaths before 2025?
6% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
8% chance
If Iran launches more missiles towards Israel in response to the recent attack will 2 or more people die
61% chance
Will at least 100 Israelis or Palestinians be killed by Iranian missiles before 2025?
19% chance
If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will anyone be killed as a result of the attack?
68% chance
If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will 15+ people be killed as a result of the attack?
12% chance