Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2025 New York City mayoral general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If the election is postponed or canceled, the market will resolve as N/A.
Background
The 2025 New York City mayoral race features several notable candidates:
Zohran Mamdani: A 33-year-old democratic socialist and state assemblymember, Mamdani secured the Democratic nomination by defeating former Governor Andrew Cuomo in the primary. His platform emphasizes affordability, including proposals for free public buses, city-owned grocery stores, and universal childcare. (time.com)
Curtis Sliwa: Founder of the Guardian Angels and the Republican nominee, Sliwa previously ran for mayor in 2021. His campaign focuses on public safety and housing issues, advocating for repealing current zoning proposals and restoring local control over zoning laws. (en.wikipedia.org)
Eric Adams: The incumbent mayor, originally elected as a Democrat in 2021, is seeking re-election as an independent. Adams faced federal corruption charges in 2024, which were dismissed in early 2025. His campaign emphasizes public safety and housing affordability. (en.wikipedia.org)
Jim Walden: An antitrust and government law attorney, Walden is running as an independent candidate. (en.wikipedia.org)
The election will utilize New York City's ranked-choice voting system, allowing voters to rank candidates by preference. (axios.com)
Considerations
Ranked-Choice Voting: This system can lead to outcomes where a candidate who does not have the most first-choice votes can still win through accumulated lower-preference votes.
Potential Independent Candidacies: Andrew Cuomo, after losing the Democratic primary, has not ruled out running as an independent under his "Fight and Deliver" party line. (en.wikipedia.org)
Incumbent's Legal History: Eric Adams' previous legal challenges and their resolution may influence voter perception and the election outcome.
Zohran Mamdani's Victory in NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary:
1,000