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@JakubLipinski can you resolve to YES now? The full results are out

It's odd that this market will resolve Yes despite the fact PiS clearly lost the election.

@MatthewLichti But the author clarified that the party that has the most votes will be considered the winner.

@MatthewLichti It's not like that to be honest. The "democratic opposition" try to appear as a unified front, but they don't have a single agenda, they are 4 parties (plus some very small) which still makes PiS a winner to be first to win election for the third time. We'll see what happens next. Someone has to form a government.

Similar, but asking about the majority of seats in Sejm: https://manifold.markets/MrLuke255/will-law-and-justice-party-pis-win?r=TXJMdWtlMjU1

Will Law and Justice party (PiS) win the majority in Polish parliamentary elections to Sejm in 2023?

53% chance. Results to YES if majority of seats in Sejm will be taken by candidates from PiS electoral comitee lists. Close date will be adjusted to close trading one day before election date (currently the date is not yet decided).

They will win.

What qualifies as a win? Simply having the most votes? Or do they have to win >50% of the vite?

@FranekZak The party which gets the most votes wins