Will Law and Justice (PiS) win the parliamentary elections in Poland in 2023?
30
550Ṁ8659
resolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES

I will resolve this market based on the official results published by the State Election Commission (PKW).

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predictedYES

@JakubLipinski can you resolve to YES now? The full results are out

It's odd that this market will resolve Yes despite the fact PiS clearly lost the election.

predictedYES

@MatthewLichti But the author clarified that the party that has the most votes will be considered the winner.

@MatthewLichti It's not like that to be honest. The "democratic opposition" try to appear as a unified front, but they don't have a single agenda, they are 4 parties (plus some very small) which still makes PiS a winner to be first to win election for the third time. We'll see what happens next. Someone has to form a government.

They will win.

What qualifies as a win? Simply having the most votes? Or do they have to win >50% of the vite?

predictedYES

@FranekZak The party which gets the most votes wins

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