What category will Hurricane Helene be, at its peak intensity?
➕
Plus
34
Ṁ20k
resolved Sep 27
100%98.9%
Category 4
0.0%
Category 1 or lower
0.1%
Category 2
0.2%
Category 3
0.8%
Category 5

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,942 Category 3 NO

bought Ṁ750 Category 2 NO

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT4+shtml/261825.shtml

Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092024
225 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND HELENE A MAJOR HURRICANE...

The Air Force Hurricane Hunters found that the maximum sustained 
winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h).  This makes 
Helene a dangerous category 3 major hurricane.  Additional 
strengthening is expected before Helene makes landfall in the 
Florida Big Bend this evening.
bought Ṁ50 Category 3 YES

Feels like cat4 is trending way too high, unless people think the models are going to vastly underperform.

@Jules3b8d The official NHC forecast calls for 115 kt, and I would guess that a lot of the models predicting lower intensity are global models and not hurricane specific ones

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules