What category will Hurricane Helene be, at its peak intensity?
34
1kṀ20k
resolved Sep 27
100%98.9%
Category 4
0.0%
Category 1 or lower
0.1%
Category 2
0.2%
Category 3
0.8%
Category 5

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bought Ṁ1,942 NO

bought Ṁ750 NO

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT4+shtml/261825.shtml

Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092024
225 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND HELENE A MAJOR HURRICANE...

The Air Force Hurricane Hunters found that the maximum sustained 
winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h).  This makes 
Helene a dangerous category 3 major hurricane.  Additional 
strengthening is expected before Helene makes landfall in the 
Florida Big Bend this evening.
bought Ṁ50 YES

Feels like cat4 is trending way too high, unless people think the models are going to vastly underperform.

@Jules3b8d The official NHC forecast calls for 115 kt, and I would guess that a lot of the models predicting lower intensity are global models and not hurricane specific ones

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