On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2027 Atlantic season storms reach?

Question

Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.

Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade.  Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Will Bill reach Category 1 wind speeds?, followed by Will Bill reach Category 2 wind speeds? and Will Ana reach Category 1 wind speeds? are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Oct 21, 2026).

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