Will the movie Oppenheimer (2023) get higher than a 79% overall critic rating on Rotten Tomatoes by July 22st 2023?
Will the movie Oppenheimer (2023) get higher than a 79% overall critic rating on Rotten Tomatoes by July 22st 2023?
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610Ṁ35kresolved Jul 23
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve based on the Rotten Tomatoes "Tomatometer" score for the critic rating here: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/oppenheimer_2023
I'm including the trailer link:
(If the movie doesn't get released on July 21st, I will extend it as needed.)
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Previous directing roles that are scored:
(69+92+83+73+87+87+94+76+84+92+93+82)/12 ~= 84.3 % (average)
Has a good review from the author of the book and given the importance of the movie, I believe critics will inflate the review score.
I also personally like Nolan's body of directorial work and believe it will be score well with critics. Given the subject matter I think it is possible to put it between Batman Begins and Dunkirk in terms of score (~87) so I will bet YES accordingly.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.