Will Cillian Murphy receive the Oscar for Best Actor for his role in Oppenheimer?
BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finan
45
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Ṁ890
2026
55%
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This market will resolve YES if Cillian Murphy receives the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role during the year that 'Oppenheimer' is eligible for the Academy Awards. If he does not receive the award, or if 'Oppenheimer' is not eligible for Academy Awards by 2026, this market will resolve NO.

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Joshua avatar
Joshua 🦚

Made fixed-payout markets for best actor and actress:

ZicoVerona avatar
Zicopredicts YES

@Joshua How is fixed payout different from an not fixed payout multiple choice market? If there is a difference.

Joshua avatar
Joshua 🦚

The long answer is beyond my ability to explain well so I'd refer you to the discord thread introducing it a while back here here.

The short answer is that in fixed-payout there's an "Other" answer that represents the possibility of all answers that haven't been added. You can buy yes or no in any answer including "Other", whereas in the old free response format you could only buy shares and sell shares, you couldn't buy "no" in anything.

VioletaLucariello avatar
Violeta Lucariello

I have followed Cillian since Peaky Blinders, consistently brilliant acting! deserves an OSCAR award for Oppenheimer !!

BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finanbought Ṁ15 of YES

5/5 bretty good

BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finanbought Ṁ45 of NO

A longshot here, so I'm starting the odds around 20%. I'd put the odds of him getting a nomination at around 75%

chilli avatar
chillibought Ṁ100 of NO

@BrendanFinan Lower than that imo. I don’t think a Nolan movie has ever received an acting nomination.

BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finanpredicts NO

@HoraceHe Heath Ledger won Best Supporting Actor for The Dark Knight