If Keith Wilson is Portland (OR)'s mayor, will he succeed in cutting unsheltered homelessness by >80% by the end of 2025
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Plus
5
Ṁ850
2026
30%
chance

The Portland, OR mayoral race frontrunners include 3 current commissioners and one outside candidate, Keith Wilson. Wilson is running based on a plan to rapidly scale up shelters, coupled with enforcement of the camping ban, to end Portland's issues of unsheltered people sleeping in public spaces.

Many Portlanders' votes, including my own, depend largely on whether we think Keith can pull off this feat, so I'd likely to inform my decision by soliciting the Manifold community's expertise.

Resolves to N/A if Wilson does not win the Portland mayoral election in November 2024. Will resolve based on the results of the annual Multnomah County homelessness census in January 2026, or another reputable source if that is not completed.

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Ṁ1,000
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