If Keith Wilson is Portland (OR)'s mayor, will he succeed in cutting unsheltered homelessness by >80% by the end of 2025
Plus
5
Ṁ8502026
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Portland, OR mayoral race frontrunners include 3 current commissioners and one outside candidate, Keith Wilson. Wilson is running based on a plan to rapidly scale up shelters, coupled with enforcement of the camping ban, to end Portland's issues of unsheltered people sleeping in public spaces.
Many Portlanders' votes, including my own, depend largely on whether we think Keith can pull off this feat, so I'd likely to inform my decision by soliciting the Manifold community's expertise.
Resolves to N/A if Wilson does not win the Portland mayoral election in November 2024. Will resolve based on the results of the annual Multnomah County homelessness census in January 2026, or another reputable source if that is not completed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will win the Portland, OR 2024 mayoral race?
Will SF homelessness be solved by 2040?
19% chance
Will Denver mayor Mike Johnston be successful in significantly reducing homelessness during his current term?
42% chance
Will the SF homelessness rate be <50% of 2022 rate by 2040?
69% chance
Will there be 85k or more people living in the NYC homeless shelter system at the end of 2024?
57% chance
Will Oregon meet its housing production goal and how many units will be produced by the end of 2024?
Will the result of the 2025 Los Angeles County homeless count be greater than 80k ?
45% chance
Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2024?
19% chance
Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2030 than in 2022
48% chance
Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2025 than in 2022
65% chance