Will Denver mayor Mike Johnston be successful in significantly reducing homelessness during his current term?

Question

Johnston wants to build tiny homes and convert hotel rooms into housing for 1000+ people currently living on the street. He seems to have an urbanist/EA attitude. I'm personally skeptical of the approach but I hope it works!

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 38% chance (5 traders, as of Jul 4, 2026).

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