Will the ARC-AGI Grand Prize be claimed in 2024?
311
10kṀ890kresolved Dec 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://arcprize.org/competition
>=85% performance on Chollet's abstraction and reasoning corpus, private set. As judged by Chollet et al.
2025 version: https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai-srb6t2awj1
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ19,429 | |
| 2 | Ṁ15,887 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13,451 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6,042 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1,135 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
30% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
3% chance
In what year will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed?
2031
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?
34% chance
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
23% chance
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
AGI will be here before July 27, 2027?
25% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?
23% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
42% chance