Kerbal Space Program 2 launched into early access on 24th February 2023. However, so far the game has recieved mixed reviews because it launched in a very buggy state, missing features that are already present in the original Kerbal Space Program. Currently, the active playerbase of KSP 1 as reported by SteamDB is much higher than for KSP 2:
But, as KSP recieves ongoing patches, updates, and expansions, maybe this situation will turn around! Will KSP 2 have a larger active playerbase during early 2025, almost two years after the game's initial early-access release?
To resolve this market, I will consult this SteamDB comparision chart which graphs the active playerbases of both games. If KSP 2 has more active players than KSP 1 for the majority of datapoints in the 30 days preceeding Feb 24, 2025, then this market will resolve "YES".
1,000
3.00As much as I wanted KSP2 to succeed, I just don’t think you can bulk on bad bones. The whole point of this game was to start from scratch with a solid technical foundation—they clearly haven’t done that, and the new owners clearly have no incentives to do it. It’s a damn shame, but that’s why I’m taking this bet even at 3%.
@Mqrius Yeah, it would definitely be a pretty depressing market resolution if this ends up technically going YES only because both games have declined far below the original level of KSP 1 engagement...
Really hoping that this game eventually manages to pull things around, but I doubt they actually will; hence this market to help keep my hopes calibrated.
@JacksonWagner fwiw I've heard good things of the recent patch, apparently playability is improved a lot (way higher framerate) and is gonna get even better. Haven't tried it myself yet but I will once I lose interest in my current games.